美国经济

就业和物价

就业人口

总就业人口

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就业人口变化与失业率

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物价

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GDP

GDP总量

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M2 Money Stock

The non-seasonally adjusted version of this weekly series: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

Gross Domestic Product

Gross domestic product (GDP), the featured measure of U.S. output, is the market value of the goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDP

Real Gross Domestic Product

Real gross domestic product is the inflation adjusted value of the goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States.

Is nominal GDP always higher than real GDP?

GDP增长(TTM)

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利率

长期趋势

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相关性

Interest Rates, Discount Rate Inflation, Consumer Prices 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
Interest Rates, Discount Rate 1.00 0.75 0.91 0.48
Inflation, Consumer Prices 0.75 1.00 NaN NaN
10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate 0.91 NaN 1.00 0.54
10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate 0.48 NaN 0.54 1.00

短期趋势

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Inflation, consumer prices for the United States

Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. The Laspeyres formula is generally used.

International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.

10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate

The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_10YEAR) and 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_10YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 10 years, on average. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.

M2增速与通胀预期

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M2 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
M2 1.00 -0.26
10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate -0.26 1.00

资产价格

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Symbol CSI 300 BND DBC TIP VNQ S&P 500 HANG SENG INDEX Treasury Yield 10 Years
Symbol
CSI 300 1.00 0.74 -0.52 0.73 0.70 0.78 0.56 -0.52
BND 0.74 1.00 -0.50 0.97 0.83 0.89 0.37 -0.76
DBC -0.52 -0.50 1.00 -0.32 -0.43 -0.29 -0.01 0.49
TIP 0.73 0.97 -0.32 1.00 0.81 0.92 0.38 -0.73
VNQ 0.70 0.83 -0.43 0.81 1.00 0.89 0.52 -0.44
S&P 500 0.78 0.89 -0.29 0.92 0.89 1.00 0.62 -0.44
HANG SENG INDEX 0.56 0.37 -0.01 0.38 0.52 0.62 1.00 0.18
Treasury Yield 10 Years -0.52 -0.76 0.49 -0.73 -0.44 -0.44 0.18 1.00

S&P 500

S&P 500与GDP

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S&P 500 US Nominal GDP US Real GDP Global GDP Global GDP(DEF) US M2 US Employees
S&P 500 1.00 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.97 0.85
US Nominal GDP 0.95 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.94
US Real GDP 0.93 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.97
Global GDP 0.92 0.99 0.97 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.91
Global GDP(DEF) 0.90 0.98 0.97 0.99 1.00 0.96 0.92
US M2 0.97 0.97 0.94 0.98 0.96 1.00 0.85
US Employees 0.85 0.94 0.97 0.91 0.92 0.85 1.00

S&P 500 PE

2021-06-30
S&P 500 PE 45.65

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Dividend Yield

2021-06-30
S&P 500 Dividend 1.34

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Shiller’s CAPE

2021-06-30
CAPE 38.11
MA 10Y 27.63
CAPE 3Y 36.88
50% 20.54
75% 26.69
90% 32.20

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Earnings

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Buffett Indicator

2021-06-29
Buffett_Indicator 202.95
MA10Y 123.43
50% 83.30
75% 107.96
90% 131.69

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TIPS

2021-06-29
TIPS -0.83
10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate 1.49
10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate 2.32

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